Alternative futures and their implications for army modernization /
General Material Designation
[Book]
First Statement of Responsibility
John Gordon IV, Brian Nichiporuk.
.PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC
Place of Publication, Distribution, etc.
Santa Monica, Calif. :
Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.
RAND,
Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.
2003.
PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item
xi, 51 pages :
Other Physical Details
illustrations ;
Dimensions
28 cm.
SERIES
Series Title
Documented briefing / Rand Corporation ;
Volume Designation
DB-395-A
GENERAL NOTES
Text of Note
"Arroyo Center."
Text of Note
"DB-395-A"--Page 4 of cover.
Text of Note
"Prepared for the United States Army."
INTERNAL BIBLIOGRAPHIES/INDEXES NOTE
Text of Note
Includes bibliographical references (page 51).
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
As it carries out its long-term force structure and modernization plans, one useful approach for the Army to take is based on the analysis of "alternative futures." Having developed several plausible alternative futures (looking out roughly 25 years), the authors describe each one's possible implications for the Army's likely missions and the forces required for those missions, discussing the impact on Army modernization plans. The futures range from a benign, relatively peaceful world all the way to a dangerous, chaotic world containing many "failed states." The research indicated that the creation of medium forces was a good long-range strategy for the Army, since those forces appeared to be relevant in many of the possible futures. Traditional heavy forces were found to be useful in a limited number of the possible futures and should therefore receive relatively fewer modernization resources. Army aviation appeared to be applicable to most of the futures, but there could be a need to shift the balance from attack-type aviation to transport aircraft, depending on which future appeared more likely. In all cases, increased C4ISR seemed to be a very important capability. Even within that category, however, there might be a need to focus C4ISR resources in different ways. For example, in some futures, there would be a need to stress unconventional operations in urban areas rather than systems more applicable to locating conventional enemy forces in open terrain.
OTHER EDITION IN ANOTHER MEDIUM
Title
Alternative futures and their implications for army modernization.
Title
Alternative futures and their implications for army modernization.
CORPORATE BODY NAME USED AS SUBJECT
United States.-- Planning.
United States.
TOPICAL NAME USED AS SUBJECT
Military art and science-- United States-- Forecasting.