عنوان
پدید آورنده
موضوع
رده
کتابخانه
محل استقرار
NATIONAL BIBLIOGRAPHY NUMBER
Number
TL12m4t24n
LANGUAGE OF THE ITEM
.Language of Text, Soundtrack etc
انگلیسی
TITLE AND STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITY
Title Proper
Risk Dynamics─An Analysis for the Risk of Change
General Material Designation
[Thesis]
First Statement of Responsibility
Huang, Tailin
Subsequent Statement of Responsibility
Bea, Robert G.; Kastenberg, William E.
.PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC
Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.
UC Berkeley
Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.
2010
DISSERTATION (THESIS) NOTE
Body granting the degree
UC Berkeley
Text preceding or following the note
2010
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
The concept of risk has evolved over the centuries of human history. People care about risk because much of our property and human lives are constantly at stake in the face of unforeseeable future. Unlike the fixed, known past, the future is always uncertain to us. In fact, such uncertainty is where risk arises. Thus, people assess risk by identifying sources of uncertainty and manage risk by trying to reduce those uncertainties. Indeed, existing risk analysis may be reduced to an endless anticipation of hazardous events, followed by a quantification of how likely those events are to happen and what their consequences are. Those approaches were originally developed for relatively well structured mechanical problems. However, our society inexorably marches towards greater complexity. On top of such natural progression, the advance of information and communication technology has made the rate of society's development faster than ever. Everything in society changes over time and the complexity of change brings us the uncertain future that perplexes our decision-making processes. Our current conceptual framework for risk analysis is now facing serious challenges due to the rapid pace of change in today's societies. How can we analyze risk when systems are constantly changing? To answer this question, this research will reexamine the concept of risk and investigate the uncertainty and complexity of change, to understand the very nature of risk in the ever-changing systems. In Newton's laws of motion and the ways of traditional Chinese medicine, we have found a new perspective of risk and a new way to analyze it.
PERSONAL NAME - PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY
Huang, Tailin
PERSONAL NAME - SECONDARY RESPONSIBILITY
Bea, Robert G.; Kastenberg, William E.
CORPORATE BODY NAME - SECONDARY RESPONSIBILITY
UC Berkeley
ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Electronic name
مطالعه متن کتاب p
[Thesis]
276903
a
Y
