Intro; Preface; Contents; Contributors; Chapter 1: Pragmatic Utopias; 1.1 Introduction; 1.2 Best Practices; 1.3 Evidence-Based Policy; 1.4 Innovation and Value Creation; 1.5 Pragmatic Utopia; 1.6 Conclusion; References; Chapter 2: The Role of Mindsets and Attitudes in Determining Future Awareness; 2.1 Thick Present and Future Unawareness; 2.2 The Role of Present Awareness in Facing Possible Futures; 2.3 Mindfulness, Aesthetic and Creativity to Tame Feral Futures; 2.4 Attitudes and Behaviours that May Foster Future Awareness; 2.5 Applying the Wisdom of Crowds; 2.6 Improving Predictive Accuracy
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2.7 Future Literacy2.8 Some Final Remarks; References; Chapter 3: Multilayeredness of Anticipation; 3.1 Preliminary Remarks; 3.1.1 A Concept Clarification; 3.1.2 Some Antecedents; 3.2 Three Axes of Multilayeredness of Anticipation; 3.2.1 Short- Versus Long-Term Perspective; 3.2.2 Existence Versus Non-existence; 3.2.3 First- Versus Second-Order Anticipation; 3.3 A Final Conclusion; References; Chapter 4: Self-Defeating Prophecies: When Sociology Really Matters; 4.1 Introduction. Self-Defeating Prophecies Between Public Sociology and Scientific Accuracy
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4.2 Self-Defeating and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies: Reflexive Mechanisms in Sociological Forecasting4.3 Unawareness and Its Opposite: The Rationale of Self-Defeating Effects from the Point of View of Social Action Theory; 4.4 Merton and Bourdieu as a Couple of ``Classical ́́Examples; References; Chapter 5: Pioneer Analysis as a Futures Research Method for Analysing Transformations; 5.1 Introduction; 5.2 Pioneers as a Subject of Academic Research; 5.2.1 Who Are Pioneers?; 5.2.2 Pioneering in Different Fields; 5.2.3 Pioneer Analysis, Futures Research and Anticipation
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5.3 Pioneer Analysis as a Methodological Approach5.3.1 Hybrid Method of Pioneer Analysis and Transformative Scenarios as a Survey; 5.3.2 Pioneers in Industries or Sectors in Transition; 5.4 Exploring Pioneering Actions for Emancipatory Transformations; 5.5 Conclusions; References; Chapter 6: The Notion of Existential Risk and Its Role for the Anticipation of Technological Developmentś Long-Term Impact; 6.1 Genealogy of an Idea; 6.1.1 The Human Species and Its Vulnerability; 6.1.2 Mass Extinctions; 6.1.3 Nuclear Threat and Technological Risks; 6.2 Classification of Existential Risks
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6.2.1 Bostromś Taxonomies6.2.2 Endogenous Existential Risks; 6.2.3 Exogenous Existential Risks; 6.3 Current Research on Existential Risks; 6.3.1 The Future of Humanity Institute; 6.3.2 The Center for the Study of Existential Risk; 6.3.3 The Future of Life Institute; 6.4 Conclusions: From Precautionary Principle to Existential Risk; References; Chapter 7: Anticipations of Digital Sustainability: Self-Delusions, Disappointments and Expectations; 7.1 Anticipation with High Expectations; 7.2 Digital Tech and Sustainable Development: A Missed Opportunity; 7.3 Digital Tech Is No Clean Tech
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SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
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This volume presents a selection of the Proceedings of the Workshop on Anticipation, Agency and Complexity held in Trento (Italy) on April 2017. The contributions contained in the book brilliantly revolve around three core concepts: agency, complexity and anticipation, giving precious insights to further define the discipline of anticipation. In a world that moves increasingly fast, constantly on the verge of disruptive events, more and more scholars and practitioners in any field feel in need of new approaches to make sense of the complexity and uncertainty that the future seems to bear. The theory of anticipation tries to describe how possible futures are intrinsically intertwined with the present.
ACQUISITION INFORMATION NOTE
Source for Acquisition/Subscription Address
Springer Nature
Stock Number
com.springer.onix.9783030036232
OTHER EDITION IN ANOTHER MEDIUM
Title
Anticipation, Agency and Complexity.
International Standard Book Number
9783030036225
TOPICAL NAME USED AS SUBJECT
Agent (Philosophy), Congresses.
Complexity (Philosophy), Congresses.
Expectation (Philosophy), Congresses.
Expectation (Psychology), Congresses.
Future, The-- Social aspects, Congresses.
Agent (Philosophy)
Complexity (Philosophy)
Expectation (Philosophy)
Expectation (Psychology)
SOCIAL SCIENCE-- Anthropology-- Cultural & Social.
(SUBJECT CATEGORY (Provisional
SOC-- 002010
DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION
Number
304
.
237
Edition
23
LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CLASSIFICATION
Class number
HM656
PERSONAL NAME - ALTERNATIVE RESPONSIBILITY
Poli, Roberto
Valerio, Marco
CORPORATE BODY NAME - PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY
Workshop on Anticipation, Agency and Complexity(2017 :, Trento, Italy)