عنوان
پدید آورنده
موضوع
رده
TA174
TA174
کتابخانه
محل استقرار
INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
(Number (ISBN
3319325744
(Number (ISBN
9783319325743
Erroneous ISBN
3319325728
Erroneous ISBN
9783319325729
NATIONAL BIBLIOGRAPHY NUMBER
Number
b433263
TITLE AND STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITY
Title Proper
Foresight for science, technology and innovation /
General Material Designation
[Book]
First Statement of Responsibility
Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item
1 online resource.
SERIES
Series Title
Science, technology and innovation studies
INTERNAL BIBLIOGRAPHIES/INDEXES NOTE
Text of Note
Includes bibliographical references
CONTENTS NOTE
Text of Note
Acknowledgments; Contents; Authors; 1: Introduction; 1.1 Why This Book?; 1.2 foresight, Foresight-and Foresight for STI; 2: Foresight for STI: What and Why; 2.1 The Nature of Foresight and ForSTI; 2.2 The Origins of ForSTI; 2.3 ForSTI as a Process; 3: Initiation: Scoping and Managing ForSTI; 3.1 Introduction; 3.2 Twelve Elements of Scoping; 3.3 Conclusions; 4: Interaction: Participation and Recruitment; 4.1 Introduction; 4.2 Panels: The Heart of ForSTI; 4.2.1 Working with Panels in ForSTI: Seven Steps; 4.2.2 Ways of Working with Panels; 4.3 Common Interaction Methods; 4.3.1 Brainstorming
Text of Note
6.5 Types of Delphi Surveys6.5.1 ááStandard̐Μư̐Μư Delphi 1: Forecasting ááWhat̐Μư̐Μư and ááWhen̐Μư̐Μư; 6.5.2 ááStandard̐Μư̐Μư Delphi 2: Forecasting ááHow Far̐Μư̐Μư; 6.5.3 ááImpacts̐Μư̐Μư Delphi; Box 6.3: European Knowledge Society Foresight Delphi Survey; 6.5.4 ááPolicy̐Μư̐Μư Delphi; 6.5.5 ááMultiple Scenarios̐Μư̐Μư Delphi; 6.5.6 Other Types of Delphi; 6.6 Conclusions; 7: Imagination: Scenarios and Alternative Futures; 7.1 Introduction; 7.2 Introducing Scenarios; 7.3 Scenarios: One or Many?; 7.4 Methods for Scenario Development; 7.5 Scenario Workshops; 7.6 Scenario Approaches; 7.7 Scenario Building and Analysis in Workshops
Text of Note
Box 4.1: Participant Notes on Brainstorming4.3.2 Mind-Mapping; Box 4.2: Mind-Mapping Stages; 4.4 Conclusions; 5: Intelligence: Environmental and Horizon Scanning; 5.1 Introduction; 5.2 Environmental Scanning; Box 5.1: STEEPV Acronym; 5.3 Horizon Scanning; 5.3.1 Trends; Box 5.2: Examples of Trends; 5.3.2 Drivers; Box 5.3: Examples of Drivers; 5.3.3 Weak Signals; Box 5.4: Examples of Weak Signals; 5.3.4 Wild Cards; Box 5.5: Examples of Wild Cards; 5.3.5 Discontinuities; Box 5.6: Examples of Discontinuities; Box 5.7: An Example for Comparing HS Terminology
Text of Note
Box 5.12: Identification of the Trends in the Use of ForSTI Methods Through a Scientometric Analysis5.4.5 Network Analysis; 5.5 Conclusions; 6: Intelligence: Delphi; 6.1 Introduction; 6.2 Applications of the Delphi Method; 6.3 Resources Needed for Delphi; 6.4 Delphi Process; 6.4.1 Preparatory Work; 6.4.2 Formulation of Topic Statements; 6.4.3 Formulation of Questions to Be Asked About the Topic Statements; 6.4.4 Survey Implementation; 6.4.5 Analysis and Dissemination of Results; Box 6.1: Delphi Survey -- An International Case Study; Box 6.2: Delphi Survey -- A National Case Study
Text of Note
Box 5.8: Horizon Scanning in Health: UK Example 5.4 Tools for Environmental and Horizon Scanning; 5.4.1 Reviewing; Box 5.9: A Selection of Sources on Horizon Scanning, Wild Cards, and Related Techniques; 5.4.2 Brainstorming for Scanning; Box 5.10: Tasks for STEEPV Brainstorming to Identify Drivers of Change; TASK 1B: Working with the Outputs of STEEPV Brainstorming; TASK 2; TASK 2B: STEEPV Voting-Importance; TASK 2C: Top STEEPV Items; TASK 2D: STEEPV Voting-Uncertainty; 5.4.3 Surveys; 5.4.4 Big Data, Bibliometrics and Semantic Analysis; Box 5.11: Data Analysis Terms Defined
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SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty
OTHER EDITION IN ANOTHER MEDIUM
Title
Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation.
International Standard Book Number
9783319325729
TOPICAL NAME USED AS SUBJECT
Technological forecasting.
(SUBJECT CATEGORY (Provisional
TEC-- 000000
DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION
Number
601
.
12
Edition
23
LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CLASSIFICATION
Class number
TA174
PERSONAL NAME - PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY
Miles, Ian
PERSONAL NAME - ALTERNATIVE RESPONSIBILITY
Saritas, Ozcan
Sokolov, Alexander
CORPORATE BODY NAME - ALTERNATIVE RESPONSIBILITY
Ohio Library and Information Network.
ORIGINATING SOURCE
Date of Transaction
20161021103210.2
Cataloguing Rules (Descriptive Conventions))
rda
ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Electronic name
مطالعه متن کتاب [Book]
Y
