یادداشتهای مربوط به کتابنامه ، واژه نامه و نمایه های داخل اثر
متن يادداشت
Includes bibliographical references and index.
یادداشتهای مربوط به مندرجات
متن يادداشت
Ch. 1. Foundations / Dennis Lindley -- Ch. 2. Qualitative Theory of Subjective Probability / Patrick Suppes -- Ch. 3. Probability, Uncertainty and the Practice of Statistics / Colin Howson and Peter Urbach -- Ch. 4. The Subjective Aspect of Probability / Glenn Shafer -- Ch. 5. On the Necessity of Probability: Reasons to Believe and Grounds for Doubt / John Fox -- Ch. 6. Laboratory Studies of Subjective Probability: a Status Report / Lee Roy Beach and Gary P. Braun -- Ch. 7. Why the Distinction between Single-event Probabilities and Frequencies is Important for Psychology (and Vice Versa) / Gerd Gigerenzer -- Ch. 8. Subjective Probability: What Should We Believe? / Peter Ayton and George Wright -- Ch. 9. Applying a Cognitive Perspective to Probability Construction / Shawn P. Curley and P. George Benson -- Ch. 10. Variants of Subjective Probabilities; Concepts, Norms, and Biases / Karl Halvor Teigen.
متن يادداشت
Ch. 11. The Origins of Probability Judgment; a Review of Data and Theories / Valerie F. Reyna and Charles J. Brainerd -- Ch. 12. Ambiguous Probabilities and the Paradoxes of Expected Utility / Jonathan Baron and Deborah Frisch -- Ch. 13. Risk Perception: Main Issues, Approaches and Findings / Wibecke Brun -- Ch. 14. Relations between Confidence and Skilled Performance / Nigel Harvey -- Ch. 15. The Ups and Downs of the Hope Function in a Fruitless Search / Ruma Falk, Abigail Lipson and Clifford Konold -- Ch. 16. Subjective Probability Accuracy Analysis / J. Frank Yates -- Ch. 17. Discrete Subjective Probabilities and Decision Analysis: Elicitation, Calibration and Combination / William R. Ferrell -- Ch. 18. The Calibration of Subjective Probabilities: Theories and Models 1980-94 / Alastair G. R. McClelland and Fergus Bolger -- Ch. 19. The Rationality of Gambling: Gamblers' Conceptions of Probability, Chance and Luck / Gideon Keren.
متن يادداشت
Ch. 20. Uncertainty and Subjective Probability in AI Systems / Paul J. Krause and Dominic A. Clark -- Ch. 21. The Subjective Probability of Guilt / Willem A. Wagenaar -- Ch. 22. Probabilistic Planning and Scenario Planning / Kees van der Heijden.
بدون عنوان
0
بدون عنوان
8
بدون عنوان
8
یادداشتهای مربوط به خلاصه یا چکیده
متن يادداشت
This overview of subjective probability ranges from discussion of the philosophy of axiom systems through studies in the psychological laboratory to the real world of business decision-making.