عنوان
پدید آورنده
موضوع
رده
Q175 .C699 1991eb
Q175
.
C699
1991eb
کتابخانه
محل استقرار
0195064658
0195362373
9780195064650
9780195362374
0195064658
b741675
Experts in uncertainty :
[Book]
opinion and subjective probability in science /
by Roger M. Cooke.
New York :
Oxford University Press,
1991.
1 online resource (xii, 321 pages) :
illustrations
Environmental ethics and science policy
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Think tanks and oracles -- Expert opinion in practice -- Probabilistic thinking -- Heuristics and biases -- Building rational consensus -- Savage's normative decision theory -- Relative frequencies and exchangeability -- Elicitation and scoring -- Scoring rules for evaluating and weighing assessments -- Two experiments with calibration and entropy -- Combining expert opinions : review of the literature -- Classical model -- Bayesian model -- Psychological scaling models : paired comparisons -- Applications.
0
This volume contains an extensive survey and critical examination of current views on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy-making.
Experts in uncertainty.
Decision making.
Probabilities.
Science-- Methodology.
Science-- Philosophy.
Uncertainty (Information theory)
Incertitude (Théorie de l'information)
Prise de décision.
Probabilités.
Sciences-- Méthodologie.
Sciences-- Philosophie.
Decision making.
Deskundigheid.
Methodologie.
Natuurwetenschappen.
Onzekerheid.
Probabilities.
Science-- Methodology.
SCIENCE-- Philosophy & Social Aspects.
Science-- Philosophy.
Uncertainty (Information theory)
SCI-- 075000
501
20
Q175
.
C699
1991eb
Cooke, Roger.
20201204023049.0
pn
مطالعه متن کتاب [Book]
Y
