Includes bibliographical references (pages 357-388) and index.
Introduction: "So peace brings warre and warre brings peace" -- pt. I. Imperiogenesis: the rise of empires. A band of adventurers defeats a kingdom: Ermak's conquering Cossacks ; Life on the edge: the transformation of Russia -- and America ; Slaughter in the forest: at the limites of the Roman empire ; Asabiya in the desert: Ibn Khaldun discovers the key to history ; The myth of self-interest: and the science of cooperation ; Born to the wolves: the origins of Rome ; A medieval black hole: the rise of the great European powers on Carolingian marches -- pt. II. Imperiopathosis: the fall of empires. The other side of the wheel of fortune: from the glorious thirteenth century into the abyss of the fourteenth ; A new idea of Renaissance: why human conflict is like a forest fire and an epidemic ; The Matthew principle: why the rich get richer and the poor get poorer ; Wheels within wheels: the many declines of the Roman empire -- pt. III. Cliodynamics: a new kind of history. War and peace and particles: the science of history ; The bowling alley in history: measuring the decline of social capital ; The end of empire?: how the mobile phone is changing Cliodynamics.