Ready to rumble -- Ready to explode -- Irregular clocks -- The Hayward Fault -- Predicting the unpredictable -- The road to Haicheng -- Percolation -- The heyday -- The Hangover -- Highly charged debates -- Reading the tea leaves -- Accelerating moment release -- On the fringe -- Complicity -- Measles -- We all have our faults -- The bad one -- Whither earthquake prediction?
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Susan Hough traces the continuing quest by seismologists to forecast the time, location, and magnitude of future quakes--a quest fraught with controversies, spectacular failures, and occasional apparent successes. She brings readers into the laboratory and out into the field with the pioneers who have sought to develop reliable methods based on observable phenomena such as small earthquake patterns and electromagnetic signals. Hough describes attempts that have raised hopes only to collapse under scrutiny, as well as approaches that seem to hold future promise. She recounts stories of strange occurrences preceding massive quakes, such as changes in well water levels and mysterious ground fogs. She also ventures to the fringes of pseudoscience to consider ideas outside the scientific mainstream, from the enduring belief that animals can sense impending earthquakes to amateur YouTube videos purporting to show earthquake lights prior to large quakes