Introduction -- Chain gangs and passed bucks : predicting alliance patterns in multipolarity / with Thomas Christensen -- Averting anarchy in the new Europe -- Civil war and the security dilemma / with Robert Jervis -- Anarchy and culture : insights from the anthropology of war -- Turbulent transitions : why emerging democracies go to war / with Edward Mansfield -- Nationalism and the marketplace of ideas / with Karen Ballentine -- Democratization and civil war / with Edward Mansfield -- Russian backwardness and the future of Europe -- Myths of empire and strategies of hegemony -- Empire : a blunt tool for democratization -- Free hand abroad, divide and rule at home / with Robert Y. Shapiro and Yaeli Bloch-Elkon -- Trials and errors : principles and pragmatism in international justice / with Leslie Vinjamuri -- Conclusion. Managing the dual transition.