This thesis aims to examine both the extent to which political opinion polling cancontribute to democratic processes in different countries, and the degree to which pollingis tied to the developing processes of restructuring and transition which contemporaryadvanced societies are tending to undergo. Specifically, the examination will focus onpolitical opinion polling in both 'late-capitalist' and 'post-communist' societies. In doingso, it will consider two key related issues: firstly, how shifting political contexts impactupon the ability of polls to carry out their perceived tasks of measuring public opinion andcontributing to political democratisation; and secondly, whether polls extend or inhibitdemocratic processes.The principal concept around which this analysis is organised is that of 'ComplexPolitics'. This has as its core an analytical framework which focuses upon those aspects ofpolitical systems similar to both late-capitalist and post-communist societies, whichimpinge directly upon political opinion polling. These are Political Culture, PartySystems, Mechanisms for Political Participation, and the Policy Process. It is arguedthat, despite the obvious differences in context and recent history, the complexity ofcontemporary political envirorunents in which polls operate in both types of politicalsystem are such as to display broadly similar problems for pollsters.In order to project the course of development of polling, the likely issues that pollsters willneed to address in the future, and the shape and nature of the links between polling andthe processes of democratisation in late-capitalist societies, it is instructive to refer to thecurrent experiences of pollsters and polling in the transitional states of Central and EasternEurope. As the processes of political pluralisation and restructuring take place in theseformer communist societies, this will help to identify the major problems which pollsters are likely to face in countries such as Britain and elsewhere in continental Europe whenattempting to gauge political opinions, beliefs, orientations and behaviour as their ownsocieties become more variable and complex.
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موضوع مستند نشده
Voting behaviour; Central and Eastern Europe
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