عنوان

Willful ignorance

شابک

:9780470890448

شابک اشتباه

9780470890448 (paperback)

شماره

37927

زبان متن نوشتاري يا گفتاري و مانند آن

انگلیسی

عنوان اصلي

Willful ignorance

نام عام مواد

[electronic resources]

ساير اطلاعات عنواني

: the mismeasure of uncertainty

نام نخستين پديدآور

\ Herbert I. Weisberg, Correlation Research, Inc., Needham, MA

محل نشرو پخش و غیره

; New Jersey

نام ناشر، پخش کننده و غيره

: Wiley

تاریخ نشرو بخش و غیره

, 2014

نام خاص و کميت اثر

xvii, 434 p.

متن يادداشت

Index

متن يادداشت

Bibliography

متن يادداشت

Machine generated contents note: 1 The Opposite of Certainty 2 A Quiet Revolution 3 A Matter of Chance 4 Hardly Touched Upon 5 A Mathematician of Basel 6 A Defect of Character 7 Classical Probability 8 Babel 9 Probability and Reality 10 The Decision Factory 11 The Lottery in Science 12 Trust, but Verify Acknowledgments Notes Bibliography Index .

بدون عنوان

0

متن يادداشت

"An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternation of both scientists and the lay public.Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of regarding probability as the full measure of our uncertainty. The book explains how statistical methodology, though enormously productive and influential over the past century, is approaching a crisis. The deep and troubling divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research, and between research and practice, are reflections of this underlying problem. The author outlines a path toward the re-engineering of data analysis to help close these gaps and accelerate scientific discovery. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty presents essential information and novel ideas that should be of interest to anyone concerned about the future of scientific research. The book is especially pertinent for professionals in statistics and related fields, including practicing and research clinicians, biomedical and social science researchers, business leaders, and policy-makers"--

متن يادداشت

"This provocative new book posits how the tacit principle of "willful ignorance" has led to a deep divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research that will increasingly constrain scientific progress unless bridged by a broadened conception of statistical methodology"--

عنصر شناسه ای

Probabilities

عنصر شناسه ای

احتمالات

داده رابط بین فیلدها

a01

داده رابط بین فیلدها

a01

موضوع مستند نشده

Research-- Statistical methods

موضوع مستند نشده

Research-- Methodology.

موضوع مستند نشده

MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / General.

موضوع مستند نشده

MATHEMATICS / General.

موضوع مستند نشده

MEDICAL / Public Health.

شماره رکورد غير از شماره رده بندي

مستند نام اشخاص تاييد نشده

Weisberg, Herbert I.,1944-

کشور

ایران

تاريخ عمليات

20190610145323.0

قواعد فهرست نويسي ( بخش توصيفي )

rda

نام الکترونيکي

9780470890448.pdf

مشخصه منبع قراردادي

http://catalogimages.wiley.com/images/db/jimages/9780470890448.jpg

نوع ماده

BL

کد کاربرگه

279177

پیشوند ISBD اعمال شده است

1

تكميل شده

N