عنوان

Overconfidence and war :

شابک

0674015762

شابک

0674039165

شابک

9780674015760

شابک

9780674039162

شماره

b801754

عنوان اصلي

Overconfidence and war :

نام عام مواد

[Book]

ساير اطلاعات عنواني

the havoc and glory of positive illusions /

نام نخستين پديدآور

Dominic D.P. Johnson.

محل نشرو پخش و غیره

Cambridge, Massachusetts :

نام ناشر، پخش کننده و غيره

Harvard University Press,

تاریخ نشرو بخش و غیره

2004.

نام خاص و کميت اثر

1 online resource (280 pages)

متن يادداشت

Includes bibliographical references (pages 239-269) and index.

متن يادداشت

War and illusions -- Looking for illusions -- World War 1 -- The Munich crisis -- The Cuban missile crisis -- Vietnam -- Vanity dies hard -- Iraq, 2003.

بدون عنوان

1

متن يادداشت

Opponents rarely go to war without thinking they can win--and clearly, one side must be wrong. This conundrum lies at the heart of the so-called "war puzzle": rational states should agree on their differences in power and thus not fight. But as Dominic Johnson argues in Overconfidence and War, states are no more rational than people, who are susceptible to exaggerated ideas of their own virtue, of their ability to control events, and of the future. By looking at this bias--called "positive illusions"--As it figures in evolutionary biology, psychology, and the politics of international conflict, this book offers compelling insights into why states wage war. Johnson traces the effects of positive illusions on four turning points in twentieth-century history: two that erupted into war (World War I and Vietnam); and two that did not (the Munich crisis and the Cuban missile crisis). Examining the two wars, he shows how positive illusions have filtered into politics, causing leaders to overestimate themselves and underestimate their adversaries--and to resort to violence to settle a conflict against unreasonable odds. In the Munich and Cuban missile crises, he shows how lessening positive illusions may allow leaders to pursue peaceful solutions. The human tendency toward overconfidence may have been favored by natural selection throughout our evolutionary history because of the advantages it conferred--heightening combat performance or improving one's ability to bluff an opponent. And yet, as this book suggests--and as the recent conflict in Iraq bears out--in the modern world the consequences of this evolutionary legacy are potentially deadly.

منبع سفارش / آدرس اشتراک

00011705

منبع سفارش / آدرس اشتراک

JSTOR

شماره انبار

22573/ctvk02jgv

عنوان

Overconfidence and war.

شماره استاندارد بين المللي کتاب و موسيقي

0674015762

موضوع مستند نشده

Military history, Modern-- 20th century.

موضوع مستند نشده

Military history, Modern-- 21st century.

موضوع مستند نشده

War-- Causes.

موضوع مستند نشده

War-- Psychological aspects.

موضوع مستند نشده

Guerre-- Aspect psychologique.

موضوع مستند نشده

Guerre-- Causes.

موضوع مستند نشده

Histoire militaire-- 20e siècle.

موضوع مستند نشده

Histoire militaire-- 21e siècle.

موضوع مستند نشده

HISTORY-- Military-- Other.

موضوع مستند نشده

Krieg.

موضوع مستند نشده

Militaire psychologie.

موضوع مستند نشده

Military history, Modern.

موضوع مستند نشده

Oorlog.

موضوع مستند نشده

POLITICAL SCIENCE-- History & Theory.

موضوع مستند نشده

Psychologie

موضوع مستند نشده

TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING-- Military Science.

موضوع مستند نشده

War-- Causes.

موضوع مستند نشده

War-- Psychological aspects.

موضوع مستند نشده

HIS-- 027130

موضوع مستند نشده

POL-- 010000

موضوع مستند نشده

POL-- 025000

موضوع مستند نشده

TEC-- 025000

شماره

ويراست

شماره رده

نشانه اثر

شماره رده

شماره رده

کد سيستم

کد سيستم

مستند نام اشخاص تاييد نشده

Johnson, Dominic D. P.,1974-

تاريخ عمليات

20201207142242.0

قواعد فهرست نويسي ( بخش توصيفي )

pn

نام الکترونيکي

نوع ماده

[Book]

تكميل شده

Y