عنوان

Deep futures :

شابک

0773571752

شابک

9780773571754

شابک اشتباه

0773526714

شابک اشتباه

0773526722

شابک اشتباه

0868404934

شابک اشتباه

9780773526716

شابک اشتباه

9780773526723

شابک اشتباه

9780868404936

شماره

b737099

عنوان اصلي

Deep futures :

نام عام مواد

[Book]

ساير اطلاعات عنواني

our prospects for survival /

نام نخستين پديدآور

Doug Cocks.

محل نشرو پخش و غیره

Montréal [Que.] :

نام ناشر، پخش کننده و غيره

McGill-Queen's University Press,

تاریخ نشرو بخش و غیره

2003.

نام خاص و کميت اثر

1 online resource (xvii, 332 pages)

متن يادداشت

"A UNSW Press book"--Title page verso.

متن يادداشت

Includes bibliographical references (pages 304-320) and index.

متن يادداشت

Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Preface and introduction -- PART 1: FUTURES WE HAVE GLIMPSED -- Chapter 1 21C: A difficult century -- Global springboard to the future -- Hobsbawm's coming problems -- Geopolitical futures -- Geoeconomic futures -- World-shaping technologies -- A growing world population -- Geosocial futures -- Global environmental futures -- Global resource futures -- Summary: change in the 21st century -- CHAPTER 2 Deep futures -- M3:The world of the third millennium -- The next glacial age -- Beyond the next glacial age

متن يادداشت

BacktrackingStyle, attitude and role -- Appendix: Basic properties of dissipative (energy-degrading) systems -- References -- Index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- Q -- R -- S -- T -- V -- W

متن يادداشت

Managing fragility and senescenceManaging unpredictability -- A Sisyphean task -- Chapter 7 Guidelines II: Learning forever -- Four pillars of social learning -- Nurturing social learning -- Boosting social learning -- Managing science and technology -- Managing stocks and flows of knowledge -- Recapitulation -- Chapter 8 Guidelines III: Working on perennial issues -- Managing social relations -- Managing global governance -- Managing production and distribution -- Managing the global ecosystem -- Chapter overview -- Chapter 9 Stories to live by

متن يادداشت

Overview: dungeons and dragonsPART 2: UNDERSTANDING THE TASK -- Chapter 3 What is the question? -- Why do people think about the future? -- What do people want of their own futures? -- What sort of society do people want? -- Can societies have goals? -- The process of setting social goals -- Quality survival as a goal for world society -- From goals to objectives -- Can we shape the future? -- Recapitulation -- Chapter 4 Understanding how societies change over time -- Ideas from history -- Some social psychology -- Sociology and societal change

متن يادداشت

Systems theory and societal changeEcological theory and societal change -- Evolutionary theory and societal change -- Overview: A plurality of frameworks -- Conclusion -- PART 3: TAKING CHARGE -- Chapter 5 A strategy for managing the deep future -- Picking a metaphor for the deep futures problem -- Wicked problems -- Accepting that rationality is bounded -- A strategy of responding to priority issues -- Four priority issues -- Chapter 6 Guidelines I: Nursing the world through endless change -- Managing the change rate -- Managing trends

بدون عنوان

0

بدون عنوان

8

بدون عنوان

8

بدون عنوان

8

بدون عنوان

8

متن يادداشت

Annotation Deep Futures addresses many questions, largely about the future of humanity, such as: Will the human lineage survive, reasonably happily, the twenty-first century? Assuming we survive, will this millennium be particularly difficult ... or just plain difficult? Will we eventually become extinct (like most species) or continue to evolve? Deep Futures is divided into three parts. Part 1 looks at what serious futuregazers see as the prospects for the human and post-human lineage, looking at and beyond this century and this millennium, far into the future. Part 2 reflects on ideas for thinking about the future drawn from an array of disciplines and on broad questions that will continue to confront humanity. Part 3 identifies science-based strategies that may be adopted to maximise humanity's chances for surviving 'well', into the near future and beyond. Book jacket.

منبع سفارش / آدرس اشتراک

JSTOR

شماره انبار

22573/ctt12k46r4

عنوان

Deep futures

شماره استاندارد بين المللي کتاب و موسيقي

0773526714

موضوع مستند نشده

Civilization, Modern.

موضوع مستند نشده

Forecasting.

موضوع مستند نشده

Social prediction.

موضوع مستند نشده

Prévision

موضوع مستند نشده

Civilization, Modern.

موضوع مستند نشده

Forecasting.

موضوع مستند نشده

Social prediction.

موضوع مستند نشده

SOCIAL SCIENCE-- Future Studies.

موضوع مستند نشده

SOCIAL SCIENCE-- General.

موضوع مستند نشده

SOC-- 000000

موضوع مستند نشده

SOC037000

شماره

شماره رده

نشانه اثر

مستند نام اشخاص تاييد نشده

Cocks, Doug,1937-

تاريخ عمليات

20201203213441.0

قواعد فهرست نويسي ( بخش توصيفي )

pn

نام الکترونيکي

نوع ماده

[Book]

تكميل شده

Y