عنوان

Computing possible futures :

شابک

0191881589

شابک

0192585436

شابک

0192585444

شابک

9780191881589

شابک

9780192585431

شابک

9780192585448

شابک اشتباه

9780198846420

عنوان اصلي

Computing possible futures :

نام عام مواد

[Book]

ساير اطلاعات عنواني

model-based explorations of "what if?" /

نام نخستين پديدآور

William B. Rouse.

محل نشرو پخش و غیره

New York, NY :

نام ناشر، پخش کننده و غيره

Oxford University Press,

تاریخ نشرو بخش و غیره

[2019]

تاریخ نشرو بخش و غیره

©2019

نام خاص و کميت اثر

1 online resource (202 pages)

متن يادداشت

This book discusses the use of models and interactive visualizations to explore designs of systems and policies in determining whether such designs would be effective. Executives and senior managers are very interested in what "data analytics" can do for them and, quite recently, what the prospects are for artificial intelligence and machine learning. They want to understand and then invest wisely. They are reasonably skeptical, having experienced overselling and under-delivery. They ask about reasonable and realistic expectations. Their concern is with the futurity of decisions they are currently entertaining. They cannot fully address this concern empirically. Thus, they need some way to make predictions. The problem is that one rarely can predict exactly what will happen, only what might happen. To overcome this limitation, executives can be provided predictions of possible futures and the conditions under which each scenario is likely to emerge. Models can help them to understand these possible futures. Most executives find such candor refreshing, perhaps even liberating. Their job becomes one of imagining and designing a portfolio of possible futures, assisted by interactive computational models. Understanding and managing uncertainty is central to their job. Indeed, doing this better than competitors is a hallmark of success. This book is intended to help them understand what fundamentally needs to be done, why it needs to be done, and how to do it. The hope is that readers will discuss this book and develop a "shared mental model" of computational modeling in the process, which will greatly enhance their chances of success.

شماره استاندارد بين المللي کتاب و موسيقي

9780198846420

موضوع مستند نشده

Computer simulation.

موضوع مستند نشده

Decision making.

موضوع مستند نشده

Information visualization.

موضوع مستند نشده

Management-- Data processing.

موضوع مستند نشده

Mathematical models.

موضوع مستند نشده

Computer simulation.

موضوع مستند نشده

Decision making.

موضوع مستند نشده

Information visualization.

موضوع مستند نشده

Management-- Data processing.

موضوع مستند نشده

Mathematical models.

شماره

ويراست

شماره رده

نشانه اثر

مستند نام اشخاص تاييد نشده

Rouse, William B.

تاريخ عمليات

20200822092739.0

قواعد فهرست نويسي ( بخش توصيفي )

pn

نام الکترونيکي

نوع ماده

[Book]

تكميل شده

Y