عنوان

Historical dynamics :

شابک

1400889316

شابک

9781400889310

شابک اشتباه

9780691116693

عنوان اصلي

Historical dynamics :

نام عام مواد

[Book]

ساير اطلاعات عنواني

why states rise and fall /

نام نخستين پديدآور

Peter Turchin.

محل نشرو پخش و غیره

Princeton, New Jersey :

نام ناشر، پخش کننده و غيره

Princeton University Press,

تاریخ نشرو بخش و غیره

[2018]

نام خاص و کميت اثر

1 online resource (260 pages)

عنوان فروست

Princeton studies in complexity

متن يادداشت

Includes bibliographical references and index.

متن يادداشت

Many historical processes are dynamic. Populations grow and decline. Empires expand and collapse. Religions spread and wither. Natural scientists have made great strides in understanding dynamical processes in the physical and biological worlds using a synthetic approach that combines mathematical modeling with statistical analyses. Taking up the problem of territorial dynamics--why some polities at certain times expand and at other times contract--this book shows that a similar research program can advance our understanding of dynamical processes in history. Peter Turchin develops hypotheses from a wide range of social, political, economic, and demographic factors: geopolitics, factors affecting collective solidarity, dynamics of ethnic assimilation/religious conversion, and the interaction between population dynamics and sociopolitical stability. He then translates these into a spectrum of mathematical models, investigates the dynamics predicted by the models, and contrasts model predictions with empirical patterns. Turchin's highly instructive empirical tests demonstrate that certain models predict empirical patterns with a very high degree of accuracy. For instance, one model accounts for the recurrent waves of state breakdown in medieval and early modern Europe. And historical data confirm that ethno-nationalist solidarity produces an aggressively expansive state under certain conditions (such as in locations where imperial frontiers coincide with religious divides). The strength of Turchin's results suggests that the synthetic approach he advocates can significantly improve our understanding of historical dynamics.

عنوان

Historical dynamics : why states rise and fall.

شماره استاندارد بين المللي کتاب و موسيقي

9780691116693

موضوع مستند نشده

Historiometry.

موضوع مستند نشده

History-- Mathematical models.

موضوع مستند نشده

Historiometry.

موضوع مستند نشده

HISTORY-- General.

موضوع مستند نشده

History-- Mathematical models.

موضوع مستند نشده

HIS-- 000000

شماره

ويراست

شماره رده

مستند نام اشخاص تاييد نشده

Turchin, Peter,1957-

تاريخ عمليات

20200822181421.0

قواعد فهرست نويسي ( بخش توصيفي )

pn

نام الکترونيکي

نوع ماده

[Book]

تكميل شده

Y