عنوان

Risk dilemmas :

شابک

0230538711

شابک

9780230538719

شماره

b605936

عنوان اصلي

Risk dilemmas :

نام عام مواد

[Book]

ساير اطلاعات عنواني

forced choices and survival

نام نخستين پديدآور

Mark Jablonowski.

محل نشرو پخش و غیره

New York

نام ناشر، پخش کننده و غيره

Palgrave Macmillan

تاریخ نشرو بخش و غیره

2008. ©2007

نام خاص و کميت اثر

137 pages : illustrations ; 22 cm

متن يادداشت

A review of high-stakes risk criteria. Formalizing risky decisions. The expected value criterion. Decision criteria when probability is unknown, or irrelevant. Conditions of indifference between fatalism and precaution. A fuzzy representation of danger --; Finding alternatives to risk. The preactionary approach. Identifying alternatives using backcasting. Backcasting under uncertainty. Backcasting versus backtracking. Maintaining the balance of life. Contrasting the "post-fact" approach. Cost/ benefit and post-fact risk management. Avoiding mechanistic precaution. Risk acceptance --; risk avoidance --; risk anticipation --; Risk avoidance : all or nothing. How risk grows. Why prioritization fails. Pragmatic arguments for not adding risks. Satisfying the burden of proof. A possibilistic model of catastrophic potentials. Is there a "natural" level of risk. On the notion of "selective fatalism." Selective fatalism and dilemmas. The "tolerability" compromise --; Precaution in context. The hallmarks of precaution. Context and risk acceptance criteria. The problem of valuation. Inter-contextual effects of precaution. Alternatives assessment across contexts. The need for coordinated goals. A reassessment of risk assesssment. Using risk assessments the right way. Identifying high-stakes risks and their mechanisms. Decision theoretic models. Integrating fuzzy risk thresholds --; Can we avoid risk dilemmas? The only two options. Facing the paradox of progress. Risk dilemmas and self-interest. The prospect of "infinite disutility." The need for a wider approach to science. Radical rethinking. Science to the rescue? The dangers of giving up --; Summary and conclusion (of sorts). Understanding high-stakes decision processes. Making precaution work. How do current regimes compare? Doing the right thing. Who will lead the way?

موضوع مستند نشده

Emergency management.

موضوع مستند نشده

Risk management.

شماره رده

نشانه اثر

مستند نام اشخاص تاييد نشده

Mark Jablonowski.

مستند نام اشخاص تاييد نشده

Mark Jablonowski

نام الکترونيکي

نوع ماده

[Book]

تكميل شده

Y