NATIONAL BIBLIOGRAPHY NUMBER
Number
T27180
LANGUAGE OF THE ITEM
.Language of Text, Soundtrack etc
انگلیسی
TITLE AND STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITY
Title Proper
A time series analysis on crude oil exports for Iraq
General Material Designation
Dissertation
First Statement of Responsibility
Wisam Raheem Ghulam Al-Jammali
.PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC
Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.
Mathematical Sciences
Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.
1401
PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item
73p.
Other Physical Details
cd
DISSERTATION (THESIS) NOTE
Dissertation or thesis details and type of degree
M.S.
Discipline of degree
Statistics
Date of degree
1401/06/23
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
In addition to being the primary source of energy supply in the modern world, oil is also a significant factor in determining the amount of national power and international reputation possessed by various nations. Since the beginning of the country's modern economy, crude oil has been the primary contributor to Iraq's national income. Today, the oil industry is Iraq's most important economic driver, and it continues to be the country's most important source of export revenue. Because of the many different variables that might have an impact on the quantity of crude oil shipped and create changes in that quantity, we decided to carry out this research and make some projections regarding the quantity of crude oil that will be exported in the years to come. Both theoretical and practical considerations were taken into account in this investigation. The modelling of data on the quantity of crude oil exported from 2004 to 2022 and the projection of that quantity for the years to come make up the practical application of this research, while the theoretical component is concerned with various scientific approaches to forecasting.
Text of Note
نفت، علاوه بر اينكه منبع عمده تأمين انرژي در دنياي امروز است، نقش مهمي نيز در تعيين ميزان قدرت ملي و اعتبار بين المللی كشورهاي مختلف ايفا مي‌كند. نفت خام در اقتصاد کشور عراق، سال‌هاي زيادي است كه عمده‌ترین بخش درآمد ملي كشور را تامين مي‌كند و در واقع اين بخش در اقتصاد كشور نقش مسلط را ايفا مي‌كند. از آنجا که عوامل مختلف می‌تواند روی میزان نفت خام صادراتی اثر گذارد و باعث بروز نوسانات در آن شود، لذا انگیزه و هدف اصلی ما را برای انجام این تحقیق روی این موضوع و پیش‌بینی میزان نفت خام صادراتی در سال‌های آینده سوق داد. این تحقیق شامل دو جنبه نظری و عملی می‌باشد. جنبه نظری، مربوط به روش‌های مختلف علمی در پیش بینی می‌باشد و جنبه عملی آن، مدل سازی داده‌های میزان نفت خام صادراتی از سال 2004 الی 2022 و پیش بینی میزان آن برای سال‌های آتی می‌باشد.
OTHER VARIANT TITLES
Variant Title
تجزیه و تحلیل سری زمانی داده‌های میزان صادرات نفت خام کشور عراق
UNCONTROLLED SUBJECT TERMS
Subject Term
Forecasting, ARIMA model, Predicted model, Time series model, Estimation.
Subject Term
پیش بینی، مدل آریما، مدل پیش بینی، مدل سری زمانی، برآورد.
PERSONAL NAME - PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY
Entry Element
Raheem Ghulam Al-Jammali,
Part of Name Other than Entry Element
Wisam
Relator Code
Producer
PERSONAL NAME - SECONDARY RESPONSIBILITY
Entry Element
Najarzadeh,
Entry Element
Heydari,
Part of Name Other than Entry Element
Dariush
Part of Name Other than Entry Element
Aliakbar
Relator Code
Thesis advisor
Relator Code
Consulting advisor
CORPORATE BODY NAME - SECONDARY RESPONSIBILITY
Entry Element
Tabriz
ORIGINATING SOURCE
Country
ایران
Agency
Central library of Tabriz Universety
LOCATION AND CALL NUMBER
Call Number
ارشد پایاننامه QA276.R3 1401
ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Electronic name
Wisam Raheem Ghulam Al-Jammali
Contact for access assistance
عبادی
e
TL
276903
a
Y
