INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
(Number (ISBN
9780470184011 (pbk.)
NATIONAL BIBLIOGRAPHY NUMBER
Country Code
IR
Number
E-6535
LANGUAGE OF THE ITEM
.Language of Text, Soundtrack etc
انگلیسی
COUNTRY OF PUBLICATION OR PRODUCTlON
Country of publication
IR
TITLE AND STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITY
Title Proper
Probably not
General Material Designation
[Book]
Other Title Information
:future prediction using probability and statistical inference
First Statement of Responsibility
/ Lawrence N. Dworsky
.PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC
Place of Publication, Distribution, etc.
Hoboken, N.J.
Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.
: Wiley-Interscience
Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.
, 2008.
PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item
xv, 310 p. , ill. , 24 cm.
NOTES PERTAINING TO PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Text of Note
Print
INTERNAL BIBLIOGRAPHIES/INDEXES NOTE
Text of Note
Includes bibliographical references and index.
CONTENTS NOTE
Text of Note
"Seemingly random events - coin flip games, the Central Limit Theorem, binomial distributions and Poisson distributions, Parrando's Paradox, and Benford's Law - are addressed and treated through key concepts and methods in probability. In addition, fun-to-solve problems including "the shared birthday" and "the prize behind door number one, two, or three" are found throughout the book, which allow readers to test and practice their new probability skills. Requiring little background knowledge of mathematics, readers will gain a greater understanding of the many daily activities and events that involve random processes and statistics." "Combining the mathematics of probability with real-world examples, Probably Not is an ideal reference for practitioners and students who would like to learn more about the role of probability and statistics in everyday decision making."--Jacket.
Text of Note
An introduction to probability -- Probability distribution functions and some basics -- Building a bell -- Random walks -- Life insurance and social security -- Binomial probabilities -- Pseudorandom numbers and Monte Carlo simulations -- Some gambling games in detail -- Traffic lights and traffic -- Combined and conditional probabilities -- Scheduling and waiting -- Stock market portfolios -- Benford, Parrondo, and Simpson -- Networks, infectious disease propagation, and chain letters -- Bird counting -- Statistical mechanics and heat -- Introduction to statistical analysis -- Chaos and quanta.
TOPICAL NAME USED AS SUBJECT
Prediction theory
Probabilities
Mathematical statistics
LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CLASSIFICATION
Class number
QA279
.
2
Book number
.
D96
2008
PERSONAL NAME - PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY
Dworsky, Lawrence N.,1943-
ORIGINATING SOURCE
Country
ایران
old catalog
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BL
1
a
Y
