how should we decide what hypothetical threats to worry about? /
First Statement of Responsibility
Brian A. Jackson, David R. Frelinger.
.PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC
Place of Publication, Distribution, etc.
Santa Monica, CA :
Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.
RAND,
Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.
2009.
PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item
1 online resource (x, 19 pages)
SERIES
Series Title
RAND Corporation occasional paper series ;
Volume Designation
OP-256-RC
INTERNAL BIBLIOGRAPHIES/INDEXES NOTE
Text of Note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 17-19).
CONTENTS NOTE
Text of Note
Cover; Preface; Contents; Tables; Summary; Emerging Threats and Security Planning: How Should We Decide What Hypothetical Threats to Worry About?; The Variety of Emerging Threats Challenging Security Planning; Framing a Middle-Ground Approach to Addressing Emerging Threats; Identifying Niche Threats; Prioritizing Emerging Threat Scenarios; Conclusions: Security Planning for the Niche and the Novel; References.
0
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
"Concerns about how terrorists might attack in the future are central to the design of security efforts to protect both individual targets and the nation overall. In thinking about emerging threats, security planners are confronted by a panoply of possible future scenarios coming from sources ranging from the terrorists themselves to red-team brainstorming efforts to explore ways adversaries might attack in the future. This paper explores an approach to assessing emerging and/or novel threats and deciding whether, or how much, they should concern security planners by asking two questions: (1) Are some of the novel threats 'niche threats' that should be addressed within existing security efforts? (2) Which of the remaining threats are attackers most likely to execute successfully and should therefore be of greater concern for security planners? If threats can reasonably be considered niche threats, they can be prudently addressed in the context of existing security activities. If threats are unusual enough, suggest significant new vulnerabilities, or their probability or consequences means they cannot be considered lesser included cases within other threats, prioritizing them based on their ease of execution provides a guide for which threats merit the greatest concern and most security attention. This preserves the opportunity to learn from new threats yet prevents security planners from being pulled in many directions simultaneously by attempting to respond to every threat at once."--Page 4 of cover.
SYSTEM REQUIREMENTS NOTE (ELECTRONIC RESOURCES)
Text of Note
Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002.
ACQUISITION INFORMATION NOTE
Source for Acquisition/Subscription Address
JSTOR
Stock Number
22573/cttd8vf
OTHER EDITION IN ANOTHER MEDIUM
Title
Emerging threats and security planning.
International Standard Book Number
9780833047311
TOPICAL NAME USED AS SUBJECT
Civil defense-- United States.
National security-- United States-- Planning.
Strategic planning-- United States.
Terrorism-- United States-- Prevention.
Armies.
Civil defense.
Law, Politics & Government.
Military & Naval Science.
Military readiness-- Planning.
National security-- Planning.
POLITICAL SCIENCE-- Political Freedom & Security-- Terrorism.