A demographic perspective on our nation's future /
General Material Designation
[Book]
First Statement of Responsibility
Peter A. Morrison.
.PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC
Place of Publication, Distribution, etc.
Santa Monica, CA :
Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.
RAND,
Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.
2001.
PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item
49 pages :
Other Physical Details
illustrations ;
Dimensions
28 cm.
SERIES
Series Title
Documented briefing ;
Volume Designation
DB-320-WFHF/DLPF/RF
GENERAL NOTES
Text of Note
"Population Matters : a RAND program of policy-relevant research communication."
INTERNAL BIBLIOGRAPHIES/INDEXES NOTE
Text of Note
Includes bibliographical references.
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
Demographic trends in the United States foreshadow major economic and social changes. Four major implications emerge: (1) The United States has experienced declining birth rates and a maturing age distribution. As the number of older adults increases and the needs of those adults find political expression, national budgetary priorities will likely focus on such needs, straining education budgets. Furthermore, the number of workers in the prime working years will begin to diminish. (2) An obvious gap has emerged as access to computers has made computer literacy during childhood increasingly prevalent among people born since the mid-1980s. Among earlier cohorts, computer literacy remains less prevalent. This "digital divide" could create a society of information "haves" and "have-nots." (3) Existing economic disparities tied to education levels could widen dramatically. Specifically, the economic prospects for those finishing high school and obtaining a bachelor's degree may begin to diverge sharply from those who do not earn a degree. These disparities may reduce individual opportunity and shortchange the nation's scientific enterprise. (4) A complex ethnic mosaic is materializing across the country. Census Bureau projections show a population in which Hispanics will soon outnumber African Americans; and non-Hispanic white (Anglo) persons will become the "minority" by 2060, comprising less than half of all Americans. In terms of social change, intermarriage is rising, and more Americans identify themselves as multiracial. The challenge regarding this evolving variable (ethnicity) is to balance the interests that unify a local community with those that distinguish or divide its members.