عنوان

Deep futures :

(Number (ISBN

0773571752

(Number (ISBN

9780773571754

Erroneous ISBN

0773526714

Erroneous ISBN

0773526722

Erroneous ISBN

0868404934

Erroneous ISBN

9780773526716

Erroneous ISBN

9780773526723

Erroneous ISBN

9780868404936

Number

b737099

Title Proper

Deep futures :

General Material Designation

[Book]

Other Title Information

our prospects for survival /

First Statement of Responsibility

Doug Cocks.

Place of Publication, Distribution, etc.

Montréal [Que.] :

Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.

McGill-Queen's University Press,

Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.

2003.

Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item

1 online resource (xvii, 332 pages)

Text of Note

"A UNSW Press book"--Title page verso.

Text of Note

Includes bibliographical references (pages 304-320) and index.

Text of Note

Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Preface and introduction -- PART 1: FUTURES WE HAVE GLIMPSED -- Chapter 1 21C: A difficult century -- Global springboard to the future -- Hobsbawm's coming problems -- Geopolitical futures -- Geoeconomic futures -- World-shaping technologies -- A growing world population -- Geosocial futures -- Global environmental futures -- Global resource futures -- Summary: change in the 21st century -- CHAPTER 2 Deep futures -- M3:The world of the third millennium -- The next glacial age -- Beyond the next glacial age

Text of Note

BacktrackingStyle, attitude and role -- Appendix: Basic properties of dissipative (energy-degrading) systems -- References -- Index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- Q -- R -- S -- T -- V -- W

Text of Note

Managing fragility and senescenceManaging unpredictability -- A Sisyphean task -- Chapter 7 Guidelines II: Learning forever -- Four pillars of social learning -- Nurturing social learning -- Boosting social learning -- Managing science and technology -- Managing stocks and flows of knowledge -- Recapitulation -- Chapter 8 Guidelines III: Working on perennial issues -- Managing social relations -- Managing global governance -- Managing production and distribution -- Managing the global ecosystem -- Chapter overview -- Chapter 9 Stories to live by

Text of Note

Overview: dungeons and dragonsPART 2: UNDERSTANDING THE TASK -- Chapter 3 What is the question? -- Why do people think about the future? -- What do people want of their own futures? -- What sort of society do people want? -- Can societies have goals? -- The process of setting social goals -- Quality survival as a goal for world society -- From goals to objectives -- Can we shape the future? -- Recapitulation -- Chapter 4 Understanding how societies change over time -- Ideas from history -- Some social psychology -- Sociology and societal change

Text of Note

Systems theory and societal changeEcological theory and societal change -- Evolutionary theory and societal change -- Overview: A plurality of frameworks -- Conclusion -- PART 3: TAKING CHARGE -- Chapter 5 A strategy for managing the deep future -- Picking a metaphor for the deep futures problem -- Wicked problems -- Accepting that rationality is bounded -- A strategy of responding to priority issues -- Four priority issues -- Chapter 6 Guidelines I: Nursing the world through endless change -- Managing the change rate -- Managing trends

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8

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Text of Note

Annotation Deep Futures addresses many questions, largely about the future of humanity, such as: Will the human lineage survive, reasonably happily, the twenty-first century? Assuming we survive, will this millennium be particularly difficult ... or just plain difficult? Will we eventually become extinct (like most species) or continue to evolve? Deep Futures is divided into three parts. Part 1 looks at what serious futuregazers see as the prospects for the human and post-human lineage, looking at and beyond this century and this millennium, far into the future. Part 2 reflects on ideas for thinking about the future drawn from an array of disciplines and on broad questions that will continue to confront humanity. Part 3 identifies science-based strategies that may be adopted to maximise humanity's chances for surviving 'well', into the near future and beyond. Book jacket.

Source for Acquisition/Subscription Address

JSTOR

Stock Number

22573/ctt12k46r4

Title

Deep futures

International Standard Book Number

0773526714

Civilization, Modern.

Forecasting.

Social prediction.

Prévision

Civilization, Modern.

Forecasting.

Social prediction.

SOCIAL SCIENCE-- Future Studies.

SOCIAL SCIENCE-- General.

SOC-- 000000

SOC037000

Number

Class number

Book number

Cocks, Doug,1937-

Date of Transaction

20201203213441.0

Cataloguing Rules (Descriptive Conventions))

pn

Electronic name

[Book]

Y