عنوان

Estimating terrorism risk /

(Number (ISBN

083304088X

(Number (ISBN

0833040936

(Number (ISBN

9780833040886

(Number (ISBN

9780833040930

Erroneous ISBN

0833038346

Erroneous ISBN

9780833038340

Number

b704360

Title Proper

Estimating terrorism risk /

General Material Designation

[Book]

First Statement of Responsibility

Henry H. Willis [and others].

Place of Publication, Distribution, etc.

Santa Monica, CA :

Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.

RAND,

Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.

2005.

Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item

1 online resource (xxiii, 66 pages) :

Other Physical Details

illustrations

Series Title

Rand Corporation monograph series

Text of Note

"MG-388-RC"--Page 4 of cover.

Text of Note

Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-66).

Text of Note

Introduction -- Terrorism risk and its components -- Accounting for uncertainty and values in terrorism risk assessment -- Two approaches to estimating terrorism risk in urban areas -- Evaluating the performance of different estimates of terrorism risk -- Conclusions and recommendations.

0

Text of Note

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is responsible for protecting the United States from terrorism. It achieves this goal partly through the Urban Areas Security Initiative, which allocates resources to states and urban areas. Until DHS can know the effectiveness of available risk-reduction alternatives or determine reasonable minimum standards for community preparedness, allocating homeland security resources based on risk is the next best approach; areas at higher risk are likely to have more and larger opportunities for risk reduction than areas at lower risk. This monograph offers a method for constructing an estimate of city risk shares, designed to perform well across a wide range of threat scenarios and risk types. It also proposes and demonstrates a framework for comparing the performance of alternative risk estimates given uncertainty in measuring the elements of risk. Finally, it makes five recommendations for improving the allocation of homeland security resources: DHS should consistently define terrorism risk in terms of expected annual consequences; DHS should seek robust risk estimators that account for uncertainty about terrorism risk and variance in citizen values; DHS should develop event-based models of terrorism risk; until reliable event-based models are constructed, DHS should use density-weighted population rather than population as a simple risk indicator; and DHS should fund research to bridge the gap between terrorism risk assessment and resource allocation policies that are cost-effective.

Source for Acquisition/Subscription Address

JSTOR

Stock Number

22573/ctt52xk

Title

Estimating terrorism risk.

International Standard Book Number

9780833038340

Federal aid to terrorism prevention-- United States-- Planning.

Terrorism-- Risk assessment-- United States.

Terrorism-- United States-- Prevention.

POLITICAL SCIENCE-- Political Freedom & Security-- Law Enforcement.

Terrorism-- Prevention.

United States.

7

POL-- 014000

Number

Edition

Class number

Book number

Willis, Henry H.

Rand Corporation.

Date of Transaction

20201207194814.0

Cataloguing Rules (Descriptive Conventions))

pn

Electronic name

[Book]

Y