War Games: Simulating Collins' Theory of Battle Victory
General Material Designation
[Article]
First Statement of Responsibility
Fletcher, Jesse B; Apkarian, Jacob; Roberts, Anthony; Lawrence, Kirk; Chase-Dunn, Christopher; Hanneman, Robert A
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
Collins' recent theory on battle dynamics is converted into a system of interconnected equations and simulated. Between evenly matched armies, initial advantages are shown to be difficult to overcome due to the numerous reinforcing pathways throughout the model. Morale advantages are shown to lead to quick victories, while material advantages lead to longer wars often won through attrition. A simulation of the Civil War is provided that appears to coincide with historical reality. The implications of these simulations for Collins' broader theory are briefly discussed.
SET
Date of Publication
2011
Title
Cliodynamics
Volume Number
2/2
PERSONAL NAME - PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY
Entry Element
Fletcher, Jesse B; Apkarian, Jacob; Roberts, Anthony; Lawrence, Kirk; Chase-Dunn, Christopher; Hanneman, Robert A