Macroeconomic forecasting in the era of big data :
General Material Designation
[Book]
Other Title Information
theory and practice /
First Statement of Responsibility
Peter Fuleky, editor.
.PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC
Place of Publication, Distribution, etc.
Cham :
Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.
Springer,
Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.
2020.
PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item
1 online resource
SERIES
Series Title
Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics,
Volume Designation
v. 52
ISSN of Series
1570-5811 ;
INTERNAL BIBLIOGRAPHIES/INDEXES NOTE
Text of Note
Includes bibliographical references.
CONTENTS NOTE
Text of Note
Introduction: Sources and Types of Big Data for Macroeconomic Forecasting -- Capturing Dynamic Relationships: Dynamic Factor Models -- Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressions, Panel VARs, and Global VARs -- Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions -- Volatility Forecasting in a Data Rich Environment -- Neural Networks -- Seeking Parsimony: Penalized Time Series Regression -- Principal Component and Static Factor Analysis -- Subspace Methods -- Variable Selection and Feature Screening -- Dealing with Model Uncertainty: Frequentist Averaging -- Bayesian Model Averaging -- Bootstrap Aggregating and Random Forest -- Boosting -- Density Forecasting -- Forecast Evaluation -- Further Issues: Unit Roots and Cointegration -- Turning Points and Classification -- Robust Methods for High-dimensional Regression and Covariance Matrix Estimation -- Frequency Domain -- Hierarchical Forecasting.
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SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
This book surveys big data tools used in macroeconomic forecasting and addresses related econometric issues, including how to capture dynamic relationships among variables; how to select parsimonious models; how to deal with model uncertainty, instability, non-stationarity, and mixed frequency data; and how to evaluate forecasts, among others. Each chapter is self-contained with references, and provides solid background information, while also reviewing the latest advances in the field. Accordingly, the book offers a valuable resource for researchers, professional forecasters, and students of quantitative economics.