The Anthropocene: Politik--Economics--Society--Science Ser. ;
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v. 18
GENERAL NOTES
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5.1 Introduction
CONTENTS NOTE
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Intro; Foreword by Fujio Kimura; Foreword by Eiichi Nakakita; Foreword by Cemal Saydam; Preface; Acknowledgements; Contents; 1 An Integrated Approach to Climate Change Impact Assessment on Basin Hydrology and Agriculture; Abstract; 1.1 Introduction; 1.2 Step-Wise Integrated Approach to Climate Change Impacts Assessment; 1.2.1 Step A; 1.2.2 Step B; 1.2.3 Step C; 1.2.4 Step D; 1.2.5 Step E; 1.2.6 Step F; 1.2.7 Step G; 1.2.8 Step H; 1.2.9 Step I; 1.2.10 Step J; 1.3 Trial Approach of the Integrated Impacts Assessment; 1.3.1 General Overview; 1.3.2 Case Study Area: The Seyhan River Basin of Turkey
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1.3.3 Climate Change Scenarios: Step A1.3.4 Hydrological Regime and Water Availability: Steps B, D and H; 1.3.5 Vegetation: Step C; 1.3.6 Field Crop Production: Step E; 1.3.7 Economy: Step F and E; 1.3.8 Water Sufficiency and Productivity -- Irrigation and Drainage, Hydrological Regime and Water Resources Availability: Step G; 1.3.9 Adaptation in Agriculture and Water Resources Management: Step I; 1.4 Epilogue; Acknowledgements; References; Projections of Future Climate Change; 2 Climate Change Projection over Turkey with a High-Resolution Atmospheric General Circulation Model; Abstract
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2.1 Introduction2.2 GCM and Experiments; 2.3 Present-Day Simulation of Precipitation; 2.4 Future Projections; 2.5 Concluding Remarks; Acknowledgements; References; 3 Development of Precise Precipitation Data for Assessing the Potential Impacts of Climate Change; Abstract; 3.1 Introduction; 3.2 APHRODITE Product over the Middle East; 3.3 Improvement of the Weather/Climate Models with Observation Data; 3.4 Climate Super-Ensemble Technique for the Middle East; 3.4.1 Data and Preprocessing; 3.4.1.1 APHRODITE Precipitation Data; 3.4.1.2 Model Data
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3.4.2 Method of the Synthetic Super-Ensemble Analysis3.4.2.1 Synthetic Super-Ensemble; 3.4.2.2 Study Flow; 3.4.3 Results; 3.4.3.1 Precipitation Pattern and Time Series; 3.4.3.2 Trends; 3.5 Discussion; References; 4 The Atmospheric Moisture Budget over the Eastern Mediterranean Based on the Super-High-Resolution Global Model -- Effects of Global Warming at the End of the 21st Century; Abstract; 4.1 Introduction; 4.2 Methods; 4.2.1 Data; 4.2.2 Research Area and Study Time Period; 4.2.3 Water Vapour Budget (WVB) Equations and Recycling Ratio
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4.3 Results of the Moisture Balance Components and Discussions4.3.1 Seasonal Precipitation; 4.3.2 Monthly Distribution of Precipitation; 4.3.3 Orographic Precipitation over the Mountain Area of Turkey; 4.3.4 Evaporation; 4.3.5 End of the 21st Century Predicted Changes in the Moisture Budget Components; 4.3.6 Discussion on the Potential Drying Mechanism in the Future; 4.4 Summary; Acknowledgements; References; Climate Change Impacts on Basin Hydrology and Agricultural Water Management; 5 Impacts of Climate Change on Basin Hydrology and the Availability of Water Resources; Abstract
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SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
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This book is based on the outcomes of a Turkish-Japanese bilateral project dealing with the impacts of climate change on basin agro-ecosystems. The book is unique in showing an up-to-date knowledge for the developing world. The chapters are related to: a) the development and improvement of a regional climate model for a more accurate prediction with higher resolution of future changes in regional climate, b) the structure of land and water management in agricultural production systems in arid areas, especially to quantitatively evaluate the relationships among cropping systems, hydrological cycle and water balance in farmland and its environments, c) the assessment of the impact of climate change and its adaptation on agricultural production systems, mainly on the aspect of land and water management, and d) the vulnerability of agricultural production systems from natural changes and the measures for enhancing sustainability of agriculture. This book elaborates on the methodologies for the assessment of climate change impacts on agricultural production and adaptation In this book, the concepts and processes of an integrated approach are outlined, and its application in a case project is introduced The approaches described in the chapters would be applicable in different situations and could be improved with experience and the introduction of advanced techniques.