NOTES PERTAINING TO PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Text of Note
Place of publication: United States, Ann Arbor; ISBN=978-0-438-88424-3
DISSERTATION (THESIS) NOTE
Dissertation or thesis details and type of degree
Ph.D.
Discipline of degree
Political Science
Body granting the degree
The Ohio State University
Text preceding or following the note
2014
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
To the casual observer of international relations, countries like the United States appear to always neatly classify other countries as either allies (e.g., Canada) or enemies (Iran). Yet there exists a sizable subset of states-India and Pakistan among them-whose relations are volatile, in that their foreign policy toward one another shifts inconsistently between episodes of intense cooperation and episodes of bitter violence. Volatile relations are dangerous, because these inconsistent shifts increase states' uncertainty over their opponent's intentions, thus increasing the likelihood of violence. What are the determinants of volatility in foreign policy? I advance a theory of volatility that integrates dynamics at the domestic and at the international level. I argue that volatility is the outcome of the interaction between the presence of domestic institutions that respond to multiple and heterogeneous interests and a state's relative power preponderance in the international system. I posit two distinct causal mechanism as operating at the two levels: a redistributive one at the domestic level and an availability one at the international level. I test this theory using originally collected event data on the interactions between rivals in the years 1948-2009.
TOPICAL NAME USED AS SUBJECT
International Relations; Political science
UNCONTROLLED SUBJECT TERMS
Subject Term
Social sciences;Domestic constituency;Event data;Foreign policy;Military power;Time series