NOTES PERTAINING TO PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Text of Note
Place of publication: United States, Ann Arbor; ISBN=978-1-339-72266-5
DISSERTATION (THESIS) NOTE
Dissertation or thesis details and type of degree
Ph.D.
Discipline of degree
Economics - Doctor of Philosophy
Body granting the degree
Michigan State University
Text preceding or following the note
2016
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
The first essay "Protest: Onset and (De)Escalation" argues that the literature on Civil Conflict has reached a point of maturity in identifying the correlates of conflict; however, the risk factors for conflict are far more common than conflict itself. Even when underlying conditions appear similar, as for the countries impacted by the Arab Spring, diverse outcomes can arise. By modeling the escalation process and incorporating protest as a signal to the government and potential dissidents in society, this paper shows how similar starting conditions can lead to protest, government concessions, or even civil war. This paper also contributes to understanding the relationship between repression and dissent. We argue that repression may reduce overall dissent, but cause dissent that occurs to become more violent. Finally, we examine some predictions of the model; this is done by complementing traditional conflict data from Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) with data on protest from the Social Conflict in Africa Database (SCAD). The analysis finds support for two key predictions in the model: the likelihood of a concession increases with protest size, and a non-monotonic relationship between protest size and the probability of escalation to conflict.
TOPICAL NAME USED AS SUBJECT
African Studies; Economic theory; Political science
UNCONTROLLED SUBJECT TERMS
Subject Term
Social sciences;Political violence;Popular participation