عنوان

Willful ignorance

(Number (ISBN

:9780470890448

Erroneous ISBN

9780470890448 (paperback)

Number

37927

.Language of Text, Soundtrack etc

انگلیسی

Title Proper

Willful ignorance

General Material Designation

[electronic resources]

Other Title Information

: the mismeasure of uncertainty

First Statement of Responsibility

\ Herbert I. Weisberg, Correlation Research, Inc., Needham, MA

Place of Publication, Distribution, etc.

; New Jersey

Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.

: Wiley

Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.

, 2014

Specific Material Designation and Extent of Item

xvii, 434 p.

Text of Note

Index

Text of Note

Bibliography

Text of Note

Machine generated contents note: 1 The Opposite of Certainty 2 A Quiet Revolution 3 A Matter of Chance 4 Hardly Touched Upon 5 A Mathematician of Basel 6 A Defect of Character 7 Classical Probability 8 Babel 9 Probability and Reality 10 The Decision Factory 11 The Lottery in Science 12 Trust, but Verify Acknowledgments Notes Bibliography Index .

0

Text of Note

"An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternation of both scientists and the lay public.Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of regarding probability as the full measure of our uncertainty. The book explains how statistical methodology, though enormously productive and influential over the past century, is approaching a crisis. The deep and troubling divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research, and between research and practice, are reflections of this underlying problem. The author outlines a path toward the re-engineering of data analysis to help close these gaps and accelerate scientific discovery. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty presents essential information and novel ideas that should be of interest to anyone concerned about the future of scientific research. The book is especially pertinent for professionals in statistics and related fields, including practicing and research clinicians, biomedical and social science researchers, business leaders, and policy-makers"--

Text of Note

"This provocative new book posits how the tacit principle of "willful ignorance" has led to a deep divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research that will increasingly constrain scientific progress unless bridged by a broadened conception of statistical methodology"--

Entry Element

Probabilities

Entry Element

احتمالات

a01

a01

Research-- Statistical methods

Research-- Methodology.

MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / General.

MATHEMATICS / General.

MEDICAL / Public Health.

Weisberg, Herbert I.,1944-

Country

ایران

Date of Transaction

20190610145323.0

Cataloguing Rules (Descriptive Conventions))

rda

Electronic name

9780470890448.pdf

Uniform Resource Identifier

http://catalogimages.wiley.com/images/db/jimages/9780470890448.jpg

BL

279177

1

N