عنوان

Misconceptions of risk

IR

617

انگلیسی

IR

Misconceptions of risk

[Book]

/ Terje Aven

Hoboken, N.J.

: Wiley,

, 2010.

240 p.

Language: انگلیسی

Print

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Risk is equal to the expected value -- Risk is a probability or probability distribution -- Risk equals a probability distribution quantile (value-at-risk) -- Risk equals uncertainty -- Risk is equal to an event -- Risk equals expected disutility -- Risk is restricted to the case of objective probabilities -- Risk is the same as risk perception -- Risk relates to negative consequences only -- Risk is determined by the historical data -- Risk assessments produce an objective risk picture -- There are large inherent uncertainties in risk analyses -- Model uncertainty should be quantified -- It is meaningful and useful to distinguish between stochastic and epistemic uncertainties -- Bayesian analysis is based on the use of probability models and Bayesian updating -- Sensitivity analysis is a type of uncertainty analysis -- The main objective of risk management is risk reduction -- Decision-making under uncertainty should be based on science (analysis) -- The precautionary principle and risk management cannot be meaningfully integrated -- Conclusions.

Risk assessment- Statistical methods

Risk management- Statistical methods

Aven, T.(Terje)

ایران

old catalog

p

BL

1

a

Y