The Development Implications of China's Belt and Road Initiative for Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus
[Thesis]
Hutson, Nathan
Giuliano, Genevieve
University of Southern California
2019
193 p.
Ph.D.
University of Southern California
2019
This dissertation explores the long term development implications of China's Eurasian rail land bridge on the economies of countries it transits, namely Kazakhstan, Russia and Belarus. The dissertation explores the historical context of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and how it emerged from China's prior efforts to develop underperforming western provinces. Particular attention is paid to the impact of the Sino-Soviet Split and its role in distorting the spatial development of Eurasia. Alternative routing options for Eurasian cargo are evaluated along with infrastructure projects affiliated with the BRI. A geospatial analysis of manufacturing firms illustrates the extent to which alternative corridor routings serve the pre-existing base of firms of different industrial classifications in order to show how these alignments dovetail with the countries' national development strategies. The final chapter explores the institutional and geopolitical dimensions of the Belt and Road Initiative in Eurasia, including an analysis of the political transition in Kazakhstan.