عنوان

Dangerous thresholds :

0833046365

1282033212

6612033215

9780833046369

9781282033214

9786612033216

0833042130

9780833042132

b792973

Dangerous thresholds :

[Book]

managing escalation in the 21st century /

Forrest E. Morgan [and others].

Santa Monica, CA :

RAND Project Air Force,

2008.

1 online resource (xxvii, 245 pages) :

illustrations, maps.

Rand Corporation monograph series

"MG-614-AF"--Page 4 of cover.

"Prepared for the United States Air Force."

Includes bibliographical references (pages 225-245).

"Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats involving not only longstanding nuclear powers, but also new, lesser nuclear powers and irregular adversaries, such as insurgent groups and terrorists. This examination of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global jihad. It reveals that, to manage the risks of escalatory chain reactions in future conflicts, military and political leaders will need to understand and dampen the mechanisms of deliberate, accidental, and inadvertent escalation. Informing the analysis are the results of two modified Delphi exercises, which focused on a potential conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan and a potential conflict between states and nonstate actors in the event of a collapse of Pakistan's government."--Jacket.

Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002.

MIL

JSTOR

203321

22573/cttq3cv

Dangerous thresholds.

0833042130

Conflict management.

Escalation (Military science)

Security, International.

World politics-- 21st century.

Conflict management.

Escalation (Military science)

HISTORY-- Military-- Other.

POLITICAL SCIENCE-- Comparative Politics.

Security, International.

TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING-- Military Science.

World politics.

HIS-- 027130

POL009000

POL011000

POL012000

TEC-- 025000

Morgan, Forrest E.

United States., Air Force.

Project Air Force (U.S.)

20201207061135.0

pn

[Book]

Y