عنوان

Handbook of warning intelligence :

0810870959

1282521802

6612521805

9780810870956

9781282521803

9786612521805

0810871661

0810871904

9780810871663

9780810871908

b791249

Handbook of warning intelligence :

[Book]

assessing the threat to national security /

Cynthia Grabo.

Lanham, Md. :

Scarecrow Press,

2010.

1 online resource (xviii, 307 pages).

Scarecrow professional intelligence education series ;

12

Includes bibliographical references.

General nature of the problem -- Definitions of the terms and their usage -- What warning is and is not -- Warning and collection -- Intentions versus capabilities -- Problems of organization and management -- Indicator lists -- The compiling of indications -- Can computers help? -- Some fundamentals of indications analysis -- Some specifics of the analytical method -- What makes a good warning analyst -- Importance of military indications -- Order-of-battle analysis in crisis situations -- Analysis of mobilization -- Logistics is the queen of battles -- Other factors in combat preparations -- Coping with extraordinary military developments -- Importance of political factors for warning -- Basic political warning : a problem of perception -- Some specific factors in political warning -- Economic indicators -- Civil defense -- Security, counter-intelligence and agent preparations -- Warning from the totality of evidence -- The impact on warning of circumstances leading to war -- Reconstructing the enemy's decision-making process -- Assessing the timing of attack -- Deception : can we cope with it? -- Analysis with hostilities already in progress -- Problems peculiar to guerrilla warfare and "wars of liberation" -- Hypothetical problems of the coming of World War III -- Vital importance of the judgment -- What does the policy maker need, and want, to know -- How to write indications or warning items -- Assessing probabilities -- Some major factors influencing judgments and reporting -- Most frequent errors in the judgment and reporting process -- Some tactics of the opposition -- Some dos and don'ts for analysts and supervisors.

pt. 1. Why warning intelligence and what is it? Some fundamentals -- pt. 2. Organization and tools of the trade -- pt. 3. Introduction to the analytical method -- pt. 4. Specific problems of military analysis -- pt. 5. Specific problems of political, civil and economic analysis -- pt. 6. Some major analytical problems -- pt. 7. Problems of particular types of warfare -- pt. 8. Reaching and reporting the warning judgment -- pt. 9. Conclusions.

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Handbook of Warning Intelligence: Assessing the Threat to National Security was written during the cold war and was classified for 40 years. The majority of this manual, however, is now finally available to the general public. An abridged version, Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning, was published, but this original document goes into much greater detail about the fundamentals of intelligence analysis and forecasting. It discusses military analysis, as well as the difficulties in understanding political, civil, and economic analysis and assessing what it means for analysts to.

Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002.

MIL

252180

Handbook of warning intelligence.

9780810871908

Cold War.

Intelligence service-- Methodology, Handbooks, manuals, etc.

Intelligence service-- United States-- History-- 20th century.

Intelligence service-- United States-- Methodology, Handbooks, manuals, etc.

Guerre froide.

Intelligence service.

POLITICAL SCIENCE-- Political Freedom & Security-- Intelligence.

Services de renseignements-- États-Unis-- 20e siècle.

Services de renseignements-- États-Unis-- Méthodologie-- Guides, manuels, etc.

Services de renseignements-- Méthodologie-- Guides, manuels, etc.

TRUE CRIME-- Espionage.

United States.

7

POL-- 036000

TRU-- 001000

Grabo, Cynthia M.

20201207043657.0

pn

[Book]

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