Every decision requires a forecast! Sometimes it happens consciously, sometimes unconsciously, sometimes self-determined, and often enough it is imposed on us. Good forecasts are helpful, but bad forecasts lead to bad decisions: they misjudge risks, get bogged down and lose their chances. This book will show you how to make the best possible forecasts for your decisions. It also shows you how to recognize false prophets. For everyday situations and for important decisions in life everyday forecasting techniques are explained. With them you can make smart decisions and live smarter. This non-fiction book shows you how far your life is determined by prognoses - good and bad, one's own and someone else's. Countless everyday decisions are a matter of routine, others are trend-setting and determine your further path. For these decisions, you need an idea of where they lead - a forecast. The prognosis helps you to decide better and wiser. How such predictions work in everyday life, what you need for a correct prognosis and which own or other pitfalls you should be aware of (eg for finances), this book tells you. The numerous examples are based for good reasons exclusively on empirically reliable material and research results.