عنوان

Economic forecasting and policy /

0230243215

0230243223

9780230243217

9780230243224

b533199

Economic forecasting and policy /

[Book]

Nicolas Carnot, Vincent Koen and Bruno Tissot

Second edition

New York :

Palgrave Macmillan,

2011

xx, 495 pages :

illustrations ;

24 cm

Published in 2005 under title: Economic forecasting

Includes bibliographical references (pages 463-483) and index

Business cycle analysis -- Real sector building blocks -- Financial sector dynamics -- Public finances -- Medium- and long-run projections -- Risks and accuracy -- Policy making and forecasts -- The data -- Time series methods -- Macroeconomic models

0

This work provides an overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. The first edition of this book became a valuable reference tool in the field of economic forecasting. This new edition takes into account what the profession has learned during this century's first Great Recession, which so few foresaw. It also restructures the material to make it more user-friendly. Policy-relevant analyses have been expanded, providing key insights for macroeconomic management and supervisory authorities. The book also explores the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts, including accuracy and communication challenges. All along, the economic policy implications are highlighted, together with a focus on their financial stability dimension. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided

Economic forecasting

Carnot, Nicolas

Carnot, Nicolas.

Koen, Vincent

Tissot, Bruno

20120924024049.0

rda

[Book]

Y