عنوان

Next generation earth system prediction :

0309388805

9780309388801

dltt

Next generation earth system prediction :

[Book]

strategies for subseasonal to seasonal forecasts /

Committee on Developing a U.S. Research Agenda to Advance Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasting ; Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Ocean Studies Board, Division on Earth and Life Studies ; the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, Medicine

xiv, 335 pages :

color illustrations, maps ;

26 cm

Includes bibliographical references (pages 285-316)

Summary -- Introduction -- History and current status of S2S forecasting -- Enhancing the value and benefits of S2S forecasts -- Sources of subseasonal to seasonal predictability -- S2S forecast systems : capabilities, gaps, and potential -- Interface between research and operations -- Cyberinfrastructure and workforce capacity building -- Vision and way forward for S2S Earth system prediction

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"As the nations economic activities, security concerns, and stewardship of natural resources become increasingly complex and globally interrelated, they become ever more sensitive to adverse impacts from weather, climate, and other natural phenomena. For several decades, forecasts with lead times of a few days for weather and other environmental phenomena have yielded valuable information to improve decision-making across all sectors of society. Developing the capability to forecast environmental conditions and disruptive events several weeks and months in advance could dramatically increase the value and benefit of environmental predictions, saving lives, protecting property, increasing economic vitality, protecting the environment, and informing policy choices. Over the past decade, the ability to forecast weather and climate conditions on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales, i.e., two to fifty-two weeks in advance, has improved substantially. Although significant progress has been made, much work remains to make S2S predictions skillful enough, as well as optimally tailored and communicated, to enable widespread use. Next Generation Earth System Predictions presents a ten-year U.S. research agenda that increases the nations S2S research and modeling capability, advances S2S forecasting, and aids in decision making at medium and extended lead times"--Publisher's description

Strategies for subseasonal to seasonal forecasts

Long-range weather forecasting

Numerical weather forecasting

Probability forecasts (Meteorology)

Weather forecasting

Weather forecasting-- Models

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (U.S.)., Committee on Developing a U.S. Research Agenda to Advance Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasting,issuing body

20161017090211.0

rda

[Book]

Y