عنوان

Making better decisions: decision theory in practice

24361

Gilboa, Itzhak.

Making better decisions: decision theory in practice

New York

Wiley-Blackwell

2011

ix, 219p.

Includes bibliographical references and index

Machine generated contents note: Chapter 1 Background. -- Suggested Reading. -- Chapter 2 Judgment and Choice Biases. -- Introduction. -- Problems - Group A. -- Problems - Group B. -- Framing Effects. -- Brainstorming and Formal Models. -- Endowment Effect. -- Sunk Costs. -- Decision Trees. -- Representativeness Heuristic. -- Availability Heuristic. -- Anchoring. -- Mental Accounting. -- Dynamic Inconsistency. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 3 Consuming Statistical Data. -- Introduction. -- Problems. -- Conditional Probabilities. -- Gambler's Fallacy. -- Biased Samples. -- Regression to the Mean. -- Correlation and Causation. -- Statistical Significance. -- Bayesian and Classical Statistics. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 4 Decisions under Risk. -- Introduction. -- Problems. -- The Independence Axiom. -- von-Neumann and Morgenstern's Result. -- Measurement of Utility. -- Risk Aversion. -- Prospect Theory. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 5 Decisions under Uncertainty. -- Introduction. -- Problems. -- Subjective Probability. -- Learning from the fact we know. -- Causality. -- The Sure Thing Principle. -- Alternative Models. -- Objective Probabilities. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 6 Well-Being and Happiness. -- Introduction. -- Problems - Group A. -- Problems - Group B. -- Well Being. -- Measurement Issues. -- What's Happiness? -- Exercises. -- Chapter 7 Appendix A: Optimal Choice. -- Chapter 8 Appendix B: Probability and Statistics. -- Solutions

، Decision making

AU

Itzhak Gilboa

TI

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