Includes bibliographical references (189-208) and index.
The nature and analysis of judgment -- Judging probabililty and frequency -- Judgemental distortions : the anchoring and adjustment heuristic and hindsight-bias -- Arguments and evidence -- Covariation, causation, and counterfactual thinking -- Decision making under risk and uncertainty -- Preference and choice -- Confidence and optimism -- Judgement and choice over time -- Dynamic decisions and high stakes : where real life meets the laboratory risk -- Decision making in groups and teams -- Cooperation and coordination -- Intuition, reflective thinking, and the brain.