Globalization and separatist war: An examination of commercial liberalism
[Thesis]
;supervisor Rauchhaus, Robert
University of California, Santa Barbara: United States -- California
: 2009
337 pages
Ph.D.
, University of California, Santa Barbara: United States -- California
One of the perennial claims in liberal theory is that economic interdependence is associated with peace. Most empirical research concludes that international trade has pacific effects on inter-state political conflict. This dissertation expands the scope of this discussion by including multiple dimensions of interdependence and the examining intra-state conflict. It is the first effort to use an expected utility model to estimate the effects of dependence on trade, foreign direct investment, and foreign portfolio investment on disputes over issues of self-determination. This study argues that with the end of the Cold War, the liberal linkages between globalization and peace apply to domestic political conflict. This logic is based on the premise that, when determining whether or not to use force, leaders in interdependent states are likely to take into account the economic gains from such relationships and the disruptions associated with war. An extensive series of quantitative tests assess the relationship between globalization, natural resource dependence, and separatist wars for a sample of 161 states. As hypothesized, governments that increased their participation in the global economy from 1985 to 1999, tend to have lower levels of separatist wars. The pacific effects of globalization are most pronounced for financially interdependent states, which are associated with a reduction in both the onset and incidence of separatist wars. The evidence that trade deters the onset of separatist wars is weaker but, on balance, also remains supportive of the commercial liberal premise.